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投资专家Howard Marks:比特币很可能是庞氏骗局

亿万富翁投资者霍华德?马克思(Howard Marks)是橡树资本主席,他成功预测了互联网泡沫,如今他指出比特币只是一时的狂热,甚至是一场庞氏骗局。

迄今为止,Marks的公司橡树资本管理着近990亿的资产。就其资本规模来看,Marks对数字货币的反对绝对是一种强烈的呼声。

只是另一场泡沫

本周三在给一名投资者写的信中,Marks就比特币向其客户发出警告,他把比特币和以前曾经发生过的大量泡沫联系在了一起。

Marks说:

在我看来,数字货币只不过是一场毫无根据的狂热(或者甚至是一场庞氏骗局)。这种狂热基于一种意愿,即其价值定位仅仅在于人们愿意为其买单,除此之外几乎一文不值。

加密货币近期吸引了不少知名人士或企业,包括Rothschild投资集团以及其他对冲和投资基金。从今年开始,以太坊的价格增长超过了2300%,而比特币今年涨幅也接近160%;这些数字对投资者来说是无法忽视的。

早就经历过

Marks以其投资备忘录闻名。他的投资备忘录见证了他预测近期的金融危机以及互联网泡沫的爆发。

Marks在备忘录中补充了加密货币大爆发和1637年郁金香泡沫、1720年南海泡沫以及1999年互联网泡沫等事件的相似性。

正经投资中购买行为的产生是因为投资品的价格对内在价值来说极具吸引力。而在投机活动中,人们只会选择盲目地买入,而不会去考虑投资品的潜在价值或者其价格的合理性。

Howard Marks, the man who predicted the dotcom bubble, billionaire investor, co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Group, has called Bitcoin a fad and even a pyramid scheme.

It is a strong voice in opposition of the digital currency with Marks’ company, Oaktree Capital, dealing with $99 bln of assets under management to date.

Just another bubble

In an investor letter sent out on Wednesday Marks warned his clients against the draw of Bitcoin, linking it to a host of other big bubbles that have come before.

Marks said:

"In my view, digital currencies are nothing but an unfounded fad (or perhaps even a pyramid scheme), based on a willingness to ascribe value to something that has little or none beyond what people will pay for it."

Cryptocurrencies have drawn in some big names recently, including Rothschild Investment Corp. and other bug hedge and investment funds. The growth of Ethereum is up more than 2,300 percent year to date, while Bitcoin is up nearly 160 percent this year; the sort of numbers that are hard to ignore for investors.

Seen it all before

Marks is famous for his investor memos, ones that have seen him predict the recent financial crisis and the dotcom bubble implosion.

Marks added in his memo the similarities between the cryptocurrency boom and the likes of the Tulip mania of 1637, the South Sea bubble of 1720 and the Internet bubble of 1999.

"Serious investing consists of buying things because the price is attractive relative to intrinsic value," he wrote. "Speculation, on the other hand, occurs when people buy something without any consideration of its underlying value or the appropriateness of its price."


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