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高盛:加密货币可能会给2018年经济带来阴影

上周,高盛经济学家Jan Hatzius在一份名为《2018年10个问题》的报告中警告称,信贷市场和加密货币之间的金融失衡可能会给2018年的美国经济蒙上一层阴影。

报告称:

"从历史标准来看,某些领域的资产评估--特别是信贷已经上升到了很高的水平......虽然我们还没有看到美联储最担忧的大幅度的信贷扩张带来的金融失衡问题,但现在市场中已经出现了不少投机迹象,例如加密货币繁荣。"

据《财富》杂志报道,Hatzius还对美联储加息预测:美国国内生产总值增长2.6%,失业率下降3.5%,收益率曲线没有反转。

Hatzius并不是唯一一个密切关注比特币和其他加密货币的人。同样在本周,印度财政部长也加入了谴责比特币和其他相关加密货币交易的人的名单,声称它在基础上与购买庞氏骗局相同。

与此同时,麻萨诸塞州的监管机构也发出数字货币警告。马萨诸塞州联邦秘书长接受CNBC采访时称,"加密货币不能成为真正意义上的产品,市场中充斥着投机,此前比特币的巨幅波动已经说明了这个问题。没有人能解释它,也没有人能控制它。"

在"今日美国"报道的一份研究报告中,DataTrek Research联合创始人Nick Colas写道,明年比特币的交易价格可能在6500美元到22000美元之间。这会给今年单独飙升1600多个百分点的加密货币造成很大的波动。

A Goldman Sachs economist has joined the list of those concerned with the impact that cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin, could have on the U.S. economy.

In the report “10 Questions for 2018,” issued late Friday (Dec. 29), Jan Hatzius warned that financial imbalances within the credit market and cryptocurrencies could cast a shadow on the U.S. economy for 2018.

“Asset valuations in some areas – especially credit – have risen to high levels by historical standards … While we have not seen the type of large credit expansions that would be most worrisome for Fed officials concerned about financial imbalances, there are now some signs of speculative behavior in financial markets, e.g. the cryptocurrency boom,” Hatzius wrote in the report.

According to Fortune, Hatzius also gave predictions about Federal Reserve rate increases, 2.6 percent growth for U.S. gross-domestic products, a 3.5 percent decline in the jobless rate and the yield curve not inverting.

Hatzius is not the only one keeping a close eye on bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Also this week, India’s finance minister has joined the list of people decrying the trading of bitcoin and other associated cryptocurrencies, claiming that it is, at base, the same as buying into a Ponzi scheme.

Meanwhile, a Massachusetts regulator issued a warning about digital currencies. “It doesn’t pass the smell test,” William Galvin, secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, said Wednesday on CNBC. “There is no product here. This is entirely speculation. That’s already been proven by the high gyrations of the value. It’s also subject to manipulation, because no one can explain it [and] no one can control it.”

In a research report covered by USA Today, Nick Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, wrote that bitcoin could trade in the range of $6,500 to $22,000 next year. That would create a lot of volatility for a cryptocurrency that has already surged more than 1,600 percent this year alone.


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